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| 引用本文： | 施顺英,张燕,吴云,安利. ���ڿ�ϲ��α��쳣Ԥ�����ϵ��������[J]. 大地测量与地球动力学, 2007, 27(5): 82-87 |
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| 作者姓名： | 施顺英 张燕 吴云 安利 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国地震局地震研究所,武汉,430071;中国地震局地壳应力研究所武汉创新基地,武汉,430071;地壳运动与地球观测实验室,武汉,430071
2. 云南省地震局,昆明,650204 |
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| 基金项目： | 地震科学联合基金（A07032）致谢 衷心感谢周硕愚教授的悉心指导和云南省地震局测量队同仁们提供数据. |
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| 摘 要： | ?????????????????α???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????к????????????????????(???????????????)?????????????12??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????顣???????,????????????60%?????????????α????????????????????????????????????????Ч??????
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| 关 键 词： | ????α??? ????????? ?????? ???б? ??????? |
| 文章编号： | 1671-5942（2007）05-0082-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-05-29 |
SCIENTIFIC TEST FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IN YUNNAN BASED ON FAULT-CROSSING DEFORMATION ANOMALY |
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| Shi Shunying,Zhang Yan,Wu Yun,An Li. SCIENTIFIC TEST FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IN YUNNAN BASED ON FAULT-CROSSING DEFORMATION ANOMALY[J]. Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics, 2007, 27(5): 82-87 |
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| Authors: | Shi Shunying Zhang Yan Wu Yun An Li |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of the fault crossing deformation observations in Yunnan area,long trend anomalies and sudden change anomalies are extracted from fault crossing deformation data with mobile black box method and then they are synthesized with ISSS(Information Synthesis of Seismogenic System) to get credible anomaly.The exact ratio of prediction is 60% by checking the earthquake prediction based on fault crossing short leveling and short baseline with the occurred earthquakes in the past 12 years.It shows that the mobile black box method and ISSS are feasible to predict earthquake. |
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| Keywords: | fault deformation anomaly fault network system information synthesis anomaly judgment earthquake prediction |
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