Relation between the evolution of seismic apparent strain field and the region of strong earthquake occurrence |
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Authors: | HUANG Fu-ming YI Zhi-gang |
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Institution: | Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100085, China |
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Abstract: | In this paper, according to the data on the middle and strong earthquakes in China, we have preliminarily studied the relation between the characteristic of space-time evolution of the seismic apparent strain field and the regions of 31 macroseism events since 1955. The result shows that, there is a rather well correlation between the anomaly region of seismic apparent strain and the zone of macroseism event occurrence within the time range of one to about five years. The R value of the application of the abnormal region of seismic apparent strain to predicting the area of strong earthquake occurrence is 0.458, and the empirical possibility of forecasting the region of macroseism occurrence is 0.625, and so the forecasting effect is comparatively well. Finally, the main results obtained above are discussed preliminarily. |
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Keywords: | seismic apparent strain anomaly region evolution region of macroseism occurrence earthquake prediction | |