福建省旅游台胞客流时空特性研究

尝试从宏观和微观、时间和空间的分析视角，采用旅游地理、旅游市场分析、数理统计及实证分析等研究原理及方法，对入闽旅游台胞时空动态的区域差异（包括旅游空间感知差异）进行深入系统分析．研究认为自1979年以来，入闽台胞旅游市场发展大致经历了4个时期；从历年旅游台胞客流量及其年际、年内变化看，都表现出一定的地区差异，其中厦门接待的旅游台胞客流量长期居全省首位，而三明接待台胞客流量最少；福州旅游台胞客流量的年际变化最小，而龙岩和宁德年际变化最大；其次，一般在每年的5月和9月形成入闽旅游台胞客流的高峰期，2月和11月为客流的低峰期；三明和宁德的R值（季节集中指数）最高，而厦门R值最低．最后，从旅游空间感知偏好与实际接待客流量交叉分析看，除了莆田马祖文化朝圣游、三明桃源洞／金湖绿色生态游以外，其余旅游空间感知偏好与实际旅游空间体验基本相符，厦门、福州、泉州、南平等是台胞旅游感知偏好较高的城市，也是台胞实际参与旅游体验最多的地区．

Research on Space-time Characteristics of Taiwanese Tourists Flow in Fujian Province

This study deeply examined the temporal-spatial variation of regional difference of Taiwanese tourists flow in Fujian province.The touring space cognition difference was also incorporated into the analysis.The results showed that,since 1979,in terms of Taiwanese tourists market development,four periods could be identified.For a long period,Xiamen received most tourists from Taiwan,and Sanming the least.The Taiwanese tourists flow in Fuzhou saw a smallest annual change,but those of Longyan and Ningde fluctuated greatly.Generally,the high peaks of flow occurred in May and September,and the low peaks in February and November.In Sanming and Ningde,the seasonal concentration index(R) was highest,and the lowest R appeared in Xiamen.Finally,a cross-flow analysis was done to compare the touring perception preference with actual tourist flow,which indicated that,apart from the pilgrims cultural tour route in Putian Mazu and the Taoyuandong/Jinhu Lake eco-tourism in Sanming,they basically matched well with each other.The study also showed that Taiwanese tourists held high preference over some cities,such as Xiamen,Fuzhou,Quanzhou and Nanping,and the preference was verified by real touring activities.