中国区域经济增长差异研究进展与展望

缩小区域经济增长差异是中国区域经济发展的核心问题。本文从地理学和经济学的视角, 综合运用文献资料法、对比分析法, 评述了区域经济增长差异研究的进展, 分析了存在的主要问题, 并展望了下一步的研究重点与方向。结果表明:近年来国外研究在多学科融合框架下更为关注地理的作用, 从而导致空间计量分析和空间统计分析成为热点方法, 地理信息技术逐步受到重视, 研究尺度逐步降低并向实用化发展。国内研究多是国外经验在中国的验证, 本土化创新不足;研究尺度以省域层面为主, 城市和县域研究明显缺乏;空间效应逐步受到关注, 对区域差异的基本问题仍存在较大争议。未来研究应在数据选取上更为细化和全面, 尝试追踪和监测区域经济差异的动态变化格局, 构建经济增长差异定量测度方法体系和技术平台, 加强区域间的关联以及经济溢出、空间溢出效应测度研究, 关注差异机制和机理解析。

A Review on divergence of regional economic growth in China

Balancing regional growth is one of the top priorities for economic development in China. Theoretical studies are urgently needed to systematically analyze the degree, pattern, characteristics and mechanisms of regional divergence. Based on literature study and comparative analysis, this paper discusses the progress, remaining issues and future directions of the research on regional economic divergence. The results show that most of foreign researches take multi-disciplinary approaches and focus on the geographical effects, which makes geographic information system (GIS), spatial econometric analysis and space statistical analysis the most commonly used methods. In addition, downscaling and practical application become a common trend. Most of domestic studies, on the other hand, are to confirm the knowledge and theories from foreign studies in China, without our own innovations. Previous studies pay more attention to regional and provincial scales, less on city and county scales. Currently, controversies still exist among the domestic researchers on the degree of divergence of regional growth, whether convergence has occurred and how quickly it changes, etc. Future research should focus on collecting more detailed and comprehensive datasets, monitoring the dynamic changes of regional economic growth, and establishing a quantitative measure system and technology platform. Inter-regional interactions, economic spillovers, mechanisms of imbalance, and practical applications will continue to be the focus of future research.