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重建历史降水量场的统计模拟方法
引用本文:丁裕国,冯燕华.重建历史降水量场的统计模拟方法[J].南京气象学院学报,1992,15(4):485-492.
作者姓名:丁裕国  冯燕华
作者单位:南京气象学院 (丁裕国),南京气象学院(冯燕华)
摘    要:

关 键 词:降水  旱涝  等级  统计模型

A STATISTICAI SIMULATION MTHOD FOR RECONSTRUCTING PRECIPITATION FIELDS IN HISTORICAL TIME
Ding Yuguo,Feng Yanhua Nanjing Institute of Meteorology.A STATISTICAI SIMULATION MTHOD FOR RECONSTRUCTING PRECIPITATION FIELDS IN HISTORICAL TIME[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,1992,15(4):485-492.
Authors:Ding Yuguo  Feng Yanhua Nanjing Institute of Meteorology
Institution:Ding Yuguo;Feng Yanhua Nanjing Institute of Meteorology
Abstract:A statistical simulation method for reconstrucing precipitation fields in thehistorical time is suggested from Monte-Carlo random simulation idea and the interre-lation of distribution of drought and flood order in neighboring regions. With thismethod,the conditional distribution model of precipitation amount corresponding to thedifferent orders of drought and flood is fitted and the simulated precipitation records cor-responding to the different orders of drought and flood are obtained through many nu-merical experiments for the last 500 years in China. These simulated records reproduce,to a certain extent,the characterisitcs of the large-scale precipitation fields in the histo-ry,thus turning them into precipitation fields. Results show that the reconstructed pre-cipitation fields are useful to the study of climatic variations during very long historicaltime.
Keywords:statistical simulation  precipitation amount  drought and flood order
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