“一带一路”倡议下东北地区粮食产业转型升级路径

采用逻辑思辨的方法分析了“一带一路”倡议下东北地区粮食产业转型升级的重要价值与驱动，在“一带一路”倡议下东北地区粮食产业发展问题研判的基础上提出了其粮食产业转型升级的优化路径。主要结论如下：① 新结构经济学通过要素禀赋的内生驱动，产业梯度转移通过竞合效应与传导机制，顺向投资通过效率寻求型顺向投资、市场寻求型顺向投资和资源寻求型顺向投资，进出口贸易通过贸易自由化竞争效应、贸易结构先导效应、市场规模扩张效应共同驱动粮食产业优化升级；② 东北地区粮食产业发展面临粮食增长不稳定、增速不可持续性、种植结构需要继续优化以及种植质量和农产品效益亟需提升的问题；③ 未来东北地区需要以创新驱动为动力、以粮食产业链价值增值为着力点、以顺向投资为重要途径，以进出口贸易为突破口推动粮食产业转型升级。

The Path of Transformation and Updating of Food Industrial in Northeast Region in the Perspective of the Belt and Road Initiative

This paper mainly uses the method of logical speculation to analyze the important value and driving mechanism of the transformation and upgrading of grain industry in Northeast China in the perspective of the Belt and Road initiative. On the basis of identifying the development problems of grain industry in Northeast China, this paper puts forward the optimization path of grain industry. The results show that: 1) The mechanism of the optimization and upgrading of grain industry comes from the endogenous driving of factor endowment in the new structural economics, forward investment through efficiency seeking, market seeking and resource seeking, while import and export trade drives the optimization and upgrading of grain industry through trade liberalization competition effect, trade structure leading effect and market scale expansion effect; 2) The development of grain industry in Northeast China is faced with the problems of unstable grain growth, unsustainable growth rate, continuous optimization of planting structure, and urgent improvement of planting quality and agricultural product efficiency; 3) In the future, Northeast China needs to promote the transformation and upgrading of grain industry with innovation driven as the driving force, the value-added of grain industry chain as the focus, the forward investment as the important way, and the import and export trade as the breakthrough point to promote the transformation and upgrading of grain industry.