太阳活动11年周期对气候系统中准两年振荡的影响(英)

用一个有外强迫的、简单的动力系统研究气候系统中的准两年振荡(平均周期长度比两年稍长或稍短的准周期振荡)。结果显示,准两年周期性源于该系统对于受11年周期调制的季节强迫的非线性响应。当系统的非线性固定时,准两年震荡的周期长度和振幅随季节变化的强度和太阳活动11年周期变化的强度而变化。这可能是造成气候中准两年震荡的性质有时空变化的原因之一。

Impact of the 11-yr solar activity on the QBO in the climate system

The QBO (quasi-biennial oscillation) in the climate system, with a mean cycle-length slightly above or below 2 years, is studied in a simple forced dynamical system. The fundamental cause of the quasi-biennial periodicity of the QBO is nonlinear resonance of the system to the seasonal forcing that is modulated by the 11-yr solar cycle. For a given nonlinearity, the cycle-length and the amplitude of the QBO depend on the intensity of both the unmodulated seasonal cycle and the 11-yr solar cycle, which may be one of the reasons why the QBO properties in climate vary with time and space.