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地震预报专家系统(ESEP/PC)中的证据可信度确定与类框架知识表示
引用本文:庄昆元,王炜,黄冰树,夏士华.地震预报专家系统(ESEP/PC)中的证据可信度确定与类框架知识表示[J].地震研究,1992(1).
作者姓名:庄昆元  王炜  黄冰树  夏士华
作者单位:安徽省地震局,安徽省地震局,安徽省地震局,安徽省地震局 合肥 230031,合肥 230031,合肥 230031,合肥 230031
摘    要:本文根据实际地震预报中分析异常证据可信度的过程,提出了确定异常证据可信度的模型。指出异常证据的可信度可根据两类不同的影响因子(全局因子与局部因子)由证据可信度组合公式确定。据此在地震预报专家系统ESEP/PC中提出了“类框架”知识表示法。文中通过实例对应用中的有关问题进行了分析与讨论。

关 键 词:专家系统  可信度  框架知识表示法  影响因子

THE EVIDENCE CERTAINTY FACTOR DETERMINATION AND FRAME-LIKE KNOWLEDGE REPRESENTATION IN ESEP/PC
Zhuang Kunyuan Wang Wei Huang Bingshu Xia Shihua.THE EVIDENCE CERTAINTY FACTOR DETERMINATION AND FRAME-LIKE KNOWLEDGE REPRESENTATION IN ESEP/PC[J].Journal of Seismological Research,1992(1).
Authors:Zhuang Kunyuan Wang Wei Huang Bingshu Xia Shihua
Abstract:Based on the analytic process of anomaly evidence reliability in earthquake prediction practice, a model that can be used to determine the anomaly evidence certainty factor has been proposed in this paper. It has been pointed out that the anomaly evidence certainty factor might be delermined by the complete formula of evidence certainly factor in the light of two different effect factors (integrate factor and local factor) . Accordingly, a frame-like knowledge representation has been proposed in ESEP/PC. And the concerned problems when it is applied have been analysed and discussed through practical examples.
Keywords:Expert system  certainty factory Frame knowledge representation  Effect factor
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