| 太湖上游流域经济发展对废水排放及入湖总磷的影响 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 吴攀,秦伯强,于革,周健,周莉. 太湖上游流域经济发展对废水排放及入湖总磷的影响[J]. 湖泊科学, 2015, 27(6): 1107-1114 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 吴攀 秦伯强 于革 周健 周莉 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所, 南京 210008,中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所, 南京 210008,中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所, 南京 210008,中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所, 南京 210008,常州大学石油化工学院, 常州 213164 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重点项目(41230744)和国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项(2012ZX07101-010)联合资助. |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为探索太湖流域水环境质量随经济发展的变化趋势,利用环境库兹涅茨曲线模型模拟1978-2012年太湖上游流域人均GDP与废水排放量、入湖总磷负荷的关系.结果表明:以1978年为计算基期,太湖上游流域人均GDP年均增速为10.3%~11.8%;1990-2012年,太湖上游流域年均工业废水排放量和废水排放总量分别为64799×104、93707×104t,与人均GDP均呈倒U型关系,从2006-2007年、2008-2009年呈下降趋势;入湖总磷负荷与太湖上游流域废水排放总量呈显著正相关,且与人均GDP呈倒U型关系,从2007-2008年呈下降趋势,在1990s以前为850~1200 t/a,1990s以后为1300~2000 t/a.该研究为从经济学角度评估太湖上游流域废水排放、入湖总磷负荷及其变化趋势提供科学依据.
|
| 关 键 词： | 磷污染物 人均GDP 环境库兹涅茨曲线 废水排放量 太湖上游流域 |
| 收稿时间： | 2014-11-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2015-02-04 |
Effects of economic development on wastewater discharge and influent total phosphorus load in the upstream of Lake Taihu Basin |
| |
| WU Pan,QIN Boqiang,YU Ge,ZHOU Jian and ZHOU Li. Effects of economic development on wastewater discharge and influent total phosphorus load in the upstream of Lake Taihu Basin[J]. Journal of Lake Science, 2015, 27(6): 1107-1114 |
| |
| Authors: | WU Pan QIN Boqiang YU Ge ZHOU Jian ZHOU Li |
| |
| Affiliation: | Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, P.R.China,Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, P.R.China,Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, P.R.China,Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, P.R.China and School of Petrochemical Engineering, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213164, P.R.China |
| |
| Abstract: | In the upstream Lake Taihu Basin, economic development affects the discharge amount of wastewater and influent total phosphorus (TP) load. In order to reveal the trend of water environment quality with economy in the Lake Taihu Basin, we simulated the relationships between wastewater discharge, influent TP load and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita for the upstream Lake Taihu Basin (1978-2012) using Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) models. The results showed that the average annual growth rate of GDP per capita was 10.3%-11.8% based on 1978 prices in the upstream Lake Taihu Basin. Meanwhile, during 1990-2012, the annual mean discharge amount of industrial wastewater and the annual mean total discharge amount of wastewater were 647.99 million tons and 937.07 million tons, respectively. The export of EKC models revealed that both of industrial wastewater and total wastewater discharge had inverted-U-shaped relationships with GDP per capita, and decreased during 2006- 2007 and 2008-2009, respectively. Moreover, influent TP load was positively related with the total wastewater discharge in the upstream of Lake Taihu Basin, presenting an inverted-U-shaped relationship with GDP per capita and declining during 2007-2008. During 1978-2012, the influent TP load ranged from 850 t/a to 1200 t/a before 1990s; increased to 1300-2000 t/a after 1990s. The EKC models provided scientific evidence for estimating wastewater discharge and the influent TP load as well as their changeable trends for the upstream Lake Taihu Basin from an economic perspective. |
| |
| Keywords: | Phosphorus pollutant GDP per capita Environmental Kuznets Curve discharge amount of wastewater the upstream of Lake Taihu Basin |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《湖泊科学》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《湖泊科学》下载全文 |
|
