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Long-term earthquake prediction in the North Pacific seismic zone based on the time and magnitude predictable model

Authors:

Eleftheria E Papadimitriou

Institution:

1. Geophysical Laboratory, University of Thessaloniki, GR54006, Thessaloniki, Greece

Abstract:

Earthquake recurrence intervals for large and great shallow mainshocks in 12 seismogenic sources along the North Pacific seismic zone (Alaska-Aleutians-Kamchatka-Kuril Islands) have been estimated and used for the determination of the following relations:

$\begin{gathered} \log T_t = 0.30M_{\min } + 0.15M_{\text{p}} - 0.27 \log \dot M_{\text{O}} + 5.24, \hfill \\ M_{\text{f}} = 1.05M_{\min } - 0.47M_{\text{p}} - 0.60 \log \dot M_{\text{O}} + 12.39, \hfill \\ \end{gathered}$

Keywords:	Interevent times time-dependent model probabilities long-term earthquake prediction North Pacific seismic zone
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