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West Antarctica's sensitivity to natural and human‐forced climate change over the Holocene
Authors:P. A. Mayewski  K. A. Maasch  D. Dixon  S. B. Sneed  R. Oglesby  E. Korotkikh  M. Potocki  B. Grigholm  K. Kreutz  A. V. Kurbatov  N. Spaulding  J. C. Stager  K. C. Taylor  E. J. Steig  J. White  N. A. N. Bertler  I. Goodwin  J. C. Simões  R. Jaña  S. Kraus  J. Fastook
Affiliation:1. Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA;2. Department of Earth Sciences, University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA;3. Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences and School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE, USA;4. Natural Sciences, Paul Smith's College, Paul Smiths, NY, USA;5. Desert Research Institute, University/Community College System Nevada, Reno, NV, USA;6. Quaternary Research Center, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA;7. Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA;8. Joint Antarctic Institute, Victoria University and GNS Science, Wellington, New Zealand;9. Department of Environment and Geography, Macquarie University, NSW, Australia;10. Centro Polar e Climático, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil;11. Instituto Antártico Chileno (INACH), Punta Arenas, Chile;12. Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (SERNAGEOMIN), Santiago, Chile;13. Department of Computer Sciences, University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA
Abstract:The location and intensity of the austral westerlies strongly influence southern hemisphere precipitation and heat transport with consequences for human society and ecosystems. With future warming, global climate models project increased aridity in southern mid‐latitudes related to continued poleward contraction of the austral westerlies. We utilize Antarctic ice cores to investigate past and to set the stage for the prediction of future behaviour of the westerlies. We show that Holocene West Antarctic ice core reconstructions of atmospheric circulation sensitively record naturally forced progressive as well as abrupt changes. We also show that recent poleward migration of the westerlies coincident with increased emission of greenhouse gases and the Antarctic ozone hole has led to unprecedented penetration, compared with >100,000 years ago, of air masses bringing warmth, extra‐Antarctic source dust and anthropogenic pollutants into West Antarctica. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:abrupt climate change  Antarctica  anthropogenic activity  atmospheric circulation  ice cores
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