| 21世纪中国大陆第一个大震活动幕的预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 胡辉,王锐.21世纪中国大陆第一个大震活动幕的预测[J].天文研究与技术,2002(2):65-69. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 胡辉 王锐 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中国科学院国家天文台云南天文台 云南昆明650011
(胡辉)，中国科学院国家天文台云南天文台 云南昆明650011(王锐) |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目 ( 1 99730 1 1 ) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 基于对 2 0世纪中国大陆 7.0级以上大地震与月亮白赤交角的变化和太阳活动的研究结果 ,根据对未来 50a (年 )月亮白赤交角的值与目前太阳活动的形势 ,提出 2 1世纪中国大陆第一个大地震活动幕可能是 2 0 0 6或 2 0 0 7～ 2 0 1 5年
|
| 关 键 词： | 白赤交角 太阳活动 地震活动幕 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-7526(2002)02-0065-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年11月21 |
Prediction to the First Curtain of Seismic Activity in Mainland China during 2lst Century |
| |
| HU Hui,WANG Rui.Prediction to the First Curtain of Seismic Activity in Mainland China during 2lst Century[J].Astronomical Research & Technology,2002(2):65-69. |
| |
| Authors: | HU Hui WANG Rui |
| |
| Abstract: | The research results on the relationship between the earthquakes over 7.0 in 20th century in mainland China, change of the inclination between the lunar path and the Equator,and the solar activity indicate: 1. the earthquakes over 7.0 in mainland China will be clustered in the time when the inclination between the lunar path and Equator changes from the maximum to the minimum; 2. the earthquakes will also be clustered in the even number cycles of solar activity. According to results above, based on the values of the inclination between the lunar path and the Equator,and solar activities for future 50 years the conclution is that the first curtain of the seismic activity in 21st century in mainland China would be from 2006 or 2007 to 2015. |
| |
| Keywords: | inclination between the lunar path and Equator solar activity seismic activity |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
