Seismic hazard model for loss estimation and risk management in Taiwan |
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Authors: | K. W. Campbell P. C. Thenhaus T. P. Barnhard D. B. Hampson |
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Affiliation: | a ABS Consulting and EQECAT Inc., 1030 NW 161st Place, Beaverton, OR 97006, USA b ABS Consulting, 2942 Evergreen Parkway, Suite 302, Evergreen, CO 80439, USA |
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Abstract: | We developed a seismic hazard model for Taiwan that integrates all available tectonic, seismicity, and seismic hazard information in the region to provide risk managers and engineers with a model they can use to estimate earthquake losses and manage seismic risk in Taiwan. The seismic hazard model is composed of two major components: a seismotectonic model and a ground-shaking model. The seismotectonic model incorporates earthquakes that are expected to occur on the Ryukyu and Manila subduction zones, on the intermediate-depth Wadati-Benioff seismicity zones, on the active crustal faults, and within seismotectonic provinces. The active crustal faults include the Chelungpu fault zone, the source of the damaging MW 7.6 Chi-Chi earthquake, and the Huangchi-Hsiaoyukeng fault zone that forms the western boundary of the Taipei Basin. The ground-shaking model uses both US, worldwide, and Taiwanese attenuation relations to provide robust estimates of peak ground acceleration and response spectral acceleration on a reference site condition for shallow crustal and subduction zone earthquakes. The ground shaking for other site conditions is obtained by applying a nonlinear soil-amplification factor defined in terms of the average shear-wave velocity in the top 30 m of the soil profile, consistent with the methodology used in the current US and proposed Taiwan building codes. |
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Keywords: | Earthquakes Portfolio management Risk management Risk modeling Seismic hazard Seismic risk Seismic zonation Seismicity Taiwan |
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