Reasoning about climate uncertainty |
| |
Authors: | Judith Curry |
| |
Affiliation: | (1) School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0340, USA |
| |
Abstract: | This paper argues that the IPCC has oversimplified the issue of uncertainty in its Assessment Reports, which can lead to misleading overconfidence. A concerted effort by the IPCC is needed to identify better ways of framing the climate change problem, explore and characterize uncertainty, reason about uncertainty in the context of evidence-based logical hierarchies, and eliminate bias from the consensus building process itself. |
| |
Keywords: | |
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
|