Reasoning about climate uncertainty |
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Authors: | Judith Curry |
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Institution: | (1) School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0340, USA |
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Abstract: | This paper argues that the IPCC has oversimplified the issue of uncertainty in its Assessment Reports, which can lead to misleading
overconfidence. A concerted effort by the IPCC is needed to identify better ways of framing the climate change problem, explore
and characterize uncertainty, reason about uncertainty in the context of evidence-based logical hierarchies, and eliminate
bias from the consensus building process itself. |
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Keywords: | |
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