经济空间场与ESDA结合的公共卫生事件应急策略制定

新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情引起了人们对国家公共卫生事件应对能力的广泛关注。基于波及效应梯度场提出了生产诱发梯度,进一步完善了经济空间场理论,并将其与探索性空间数据分析(exploratory spatial data analysis,ESDA)相结合,对医药制造业波及效应及空间布局进行了研究,制定了有效的公共卫生事件应急策略。经济空间场理论分析结果揭示了产业经济空间中医药制造业与各产业部门之间的波及效应,并由此得到了医药密切相关产业。同时,经济空间场理论与ESDA方法的结合能在区分中国大陆各省空间聚集类型的基础上,评估各省公共卫生事件的应对能力,从而为各省提出相应的应急策略和医药制造业发展建议。该方法综合考虑了产业波及效应和产业空间布局现状,不仅能够促进各省医药制造业的健康合理发展,也有助于增强各省突发公共卫生事件的应对能力。

Development of Public Health Emergency Response Strategies Based on Economic Space Field Theory and ESDA

Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) has aroused people’s attention to public health emergency management. Based on wave effect gradient field, the production-inducing gradient is proposed to explore the wave effect of a certain industry on other industries. By combining the economic space field theory with exploratory spatial data analysis(ESDA) method, this paper studies the industrial wave effect and spatial distribution of pharmaceutical industry, and develops effective strategies for public health emergency accordingly. The results of economic space field theory analysis of China’s pharmaceutical industry reveal the wave effect between pharmaceutical industry and each industrial sector in the industrial economic space respectively, and identify the industries closely related to pharmaceutical production. The response capability of each province in Chinese mainland to public health emergency can be evaluated based on spatial aggregation types, and then emergency strategies and suggestions for the development of pharmaceutical industry are put forward accordingly. The comprehensive consideration of industrial wave effect and the industrial spatial distribution can not only promote the rational development of pharmaceutical industry in all provinces,but also help to enhance the response capability of provinces to public health emergencies.