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基于专家评分模型和GIS的滑坡预警分析开发研究
引用本文:张像源,周萌. 基于专家评分模型和GIS的滑坡预警分析开发研究[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报, 2006, 17(2): 107-110
作者姓名:张像源  周萌
作者单位:1. 甘肃省地质环境监测院,甘肃,兰州,730020
2. 中国地质环境监测院,北京,100081
基金项目:中国国土资源大调查“全国地质灾害预警分析系统”项目
摘    要:利用层次分析法,结合专家评分模型,构建了滑坡预警评价指标体系。在GIS技术的支持下,开发出滑坡预警分析系统。采用该系统不但能预测滑坡灾害的空间发展趋势,而且还可反映出某一时段内其发生发展态势。文中以河北省太行山地区为例,利用该系统,实现了该区的滑坡预警评价分析。其结果与实地滑坡分布规律存在很好的一致性。

关 键 词:滑坡  层次分析法  专家评分  地理信息系统  滑坡预警系统  预测
文章编号:1003-8035(2006)02-107-04
收稿时间:2005-11-16
修稿时间:2005-11-16

Development of landslide early warning System Using expert analysis model and GIS technique
ZHANG Xiang-yuan,ZHOU Meng. Development of landslide early warning System Using expert analysis model and GIS technique[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2006, 17(2): 107-110
Authors:ZHANG Xiang-yuan  ZHOU Meng
Affiliation:1. Gansu Institute of Geo-Environment Monitoring, Lanzhou 730020, China; 2. China Institute for Geo-Environment Monitoring 100081, China
Abstract:For preventing and controlling landslide disaster,it is urgent to carry out regional early warning research of landslide hazard.Using grade model,expert analysis model and GIS technique,the table of affecting factor and a predictive system for landslide hazard evaluation has been developed.Using this software,we can prediction of a landslide hazard not only spatially but also temporarily.The implementation of the predictive system for landslide hazard evaluation is introduced,using GIS data of Hebei Mt.Taihang.The result is similar to the actual distribution of landslide hazard in Taihang,Hebei.
Keywords:landslide  grade model  expert analysis mode  landslide warning system  geographical information system(GIS)  prediction  
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