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秋冬季节转换与次年汛期旱涝的关系
引用本文:王莘芳,汪克付.秋冬季节转换与次年汛期旱涝的关系[J].气象,1996,22(12):40-42.
作者姓名:王莘芳  汪克付
作者单位:安徽省芜湖市气象局
摘    要:利用日平均气温资料,将秋冬季节转换的过程划分为4种基本类型,讨论了不同类型与次年夏季旱涝的关系,同时应用该关系制作夏季旱涝的长期趋势预测。

关 键 词:季节转换  汛期  旱灾  涝灾

A Preliminary Study on the Relationship between the Seasonal Transition of Autumn to Winter and the Drought/Flood of Next Year
Abstract:Based on mean daily temperature, the characteristics of the transition from autumn to winter are classified into four types. The relationship between the different type and the drought/flood summer of next year are discussed. By using the relationship,long-term forecasts of the drought/flood in summer are made and the results are fair good.
Keywords:autumn-winter  seasonal transition  drought/flood  long-term forecast
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