| 歹字型构造体系在地震预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐道一,孙文鹏. 歹字型构造体系在地震预测中的应用[J]. 地质力学学报, 2011, 17(1): 64-73 |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐道一 孙文鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国地震局地质研究所，北京 100029 |
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| 基金项目： | 本文在成文过程中,马胜云、黄相宁、李东旭教授（研究员）给予鼓励和帮助,特此表示衷心感谢. |
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| 摘 要： | 青藏滇缅印尼歹字型构造体系和北美洲西海岸歹字型构造体系是李四光在70多年前提出的两个巨型歹字型构造体系。近年来，歹字型构造体系被应用于地震预测。应用青藏滇缅印尼歹字型构造体系预测2008年汶川8.3级巨震，应用北美洲西海岸歹字型构造体系预测2010年4月5日墨西哥7.5级大地震，均获成功。进一步研究表明，位于同一歹字型构造体系的2个或3个特大巨震的时间间隔为53 ~ 54 a，相当于三个沙罗周期的长度，歹字型构造体系的近代活动基本上是与天文因素有关的，这一联系可被应用于地震预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 歹字型构造体系 地震预测 中国大陆 北美西部 沙罗周期 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010-12-09 |
APPLICATION OF THE ETA-TYPE TECTONIC SERIES SUGGESTED BY LI SI-GUANG TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION |
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| XU Dao-yi and SUN Wen-peng. APPLICATION OF THE ETA-TYPE TECTONIC SERIES SUGGESTED BY LI SI-GUANG TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J]. Journal of Geomechanics, 2011, 17(1): 64-73 |
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| Authors: | XU Dao-yi and SUN Wen-peng |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China2.CNNC Beijing Research Institute of Uranium Geology, Beijing 100029, China |
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| Abstract: | The eta-type tectonic system was suggested by academician Li Si-guan more than 70 years ago,and two great eta-type tectonic systems have been described by him: one is located in Qinhai-Xizang(Tibet)-Yunan-Burma-Indonesia(QXYBI),and the another is Western part of North America(WNA).Recently they have been applied to the earthquake prediction successfully.In this paper a brief introduction is concerned to the prediction of MS 8.3 Wenchuan Earthquake occurred on May 12th,2008 by Huang Xiang-ning based on the Q... |
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| Keywords: | eta-type tectonic system earthquake prediction China mainland western part of the North America Saros period |
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