| 全球变化研究的新思维 |
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| 引用本文： | 任振球. 全球变化研究的新思维[J]. 地学前缘, 2002, 9(1): 27-33 |
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| 作者姓名： | 任振球 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国气象科学研究院,北京,100081 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科学技术部 2 0 0 0年度攀登特别支持费以及联合国“减灾科学与公共管理相结合”全球计划维持费资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 地球系统及其各圈层都是个复杂系统。全球变化研究需要针对此种特点 ,运用中国传统文化的精髓———整体观方法论 ,开展整体地球以及更大整体系统的整体研究 ,从中找出关键因子和关键性物理过程 ,力戒“瞎子摸象”。文中探讨了多种时间尺度的全球变化与相应的天文参数变化的密切联系 ,认为天地耦合有可能是引起全球变化的重要途径。同时 ,讨论了有关全球变化的若干新观点和新的物理机理。
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| 关 键 词： | 全球变化 整体研究 天地耦合 反馈放大机制 严格准平衡态 非线性突变 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-2321(2002)01-0027-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001-09-28 |
NEW THOUGHT OF GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH |
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| REN Zhen-qiu. NEW THOUGHT OF GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH[J]. Earth Science Frontiers, 2002, 9(1): 27-33 |
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| Authors: | REN Zhen-qiu |
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| Abstract: | The earth system and its spheres are all complex systems. The global change research needs aiming at this characteristic, utilizing methodology based on the view of entirety(it is the marrow of Chinese traditional civilization), carrying out the entirety research of the whole earth and the whole systems that the earth belongs to, looking for the key factor and the key physical mechanism, and doing everything possible to avoid the situation as “a blind person feeling an elephant”. There are close connections between global changes of time scales and relevant astronomical parameters. The astronomy-earth coupling is possibly an important way of inducing global changes. And we have discussed how much new viewpoint and new physical mechanism relate to the global change. |
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| Keywords: | global changes view of entirety astronomy-earth coupling mechanism of feedback amplification strict quasi-equilibrium state non-linear sudden change |
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