| 辽宁沿海经济带水资源承载力研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙才志,陈玉娟. 辽宁沿海经济带水资源承载力研究[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2011, 27(3): 63-68,77 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙才志 陈玉娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心;辽宁省自然地理与空间信息科学重点实验室; |
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| 基金项目： | 辽宁省高等学校优秀人才支持项目(IR201021) |
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| 摘 要： | 辽宁省海岸带水资源不足,当其提升到国家战略后,水资源承载力研究显得更加重要。鉴于水资源承载力系统的高阶次、非线性和多重反馈特点,该文建立水资源承载力系统动力学(SD)模型,在现状发展型、经济为主型、节水为主型和持续发展型4种方案下,模拟辽宁省海岸带2005-2020年水资源承载力的动态变化。结果表明,持续发展型是提高辽宁省海岸带水资源承载力的可行方案,在实施该方案的同时,应重点开发利用非常规水资源,实现水资源、社会经济和生态环境的持续发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 海岸带 水资源承载力 辽宁省 系统动力学 |
Research on Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Liaoning Coastal Economic Zone |
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| SUN Cai-zhi,CHEN Yu-juan. Research on Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Liaoning Coastal Economic Zone[J]. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 2011, 27(3): 63-68,77 |
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| Authors: | SUN Cai-zhi CHEN Yu-juan |
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| Affiliation: | SUN Cai-zhi1,2,CHEN Yu-juan1(1.Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,2.Liaoning Key Laboratory of Physical Geography and Geomatics,China) |
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| Abstract: | The problem of water shortage is very serious in Liaoning coastal zone,when the development strategy of Liaoning coastal zone was determined to be the national strategy,the significance of water carrying capacity study become more and more obvious.In view of the higher-order,nonlinear and multi-feedback characteristics existed in the water resources carrying capacity system,a system dynamics model has been established for assessing water resources carrying capacity.Under four scenarios named the current sit... |
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| Keywords: | coastal zone water resources carrying capacity Liaoning Province system dynamics |
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