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Comprehensive Approaches to Earthquake Prediction
Authors:Zhang Guomin  Li Li  and Jiao MingruoCenter for Analysis and Prediction  China Seismological Bureau  Beijing  China
Institution:Zhang Guomin,Li Li,and Jiao MingruoCenter for Analysis and Prediction,China Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100036,China
Abstract:There may be various anomalies from fields of multi-discipline before large earthquakes, including seismological anomalies and the anomalous changes in crustal deformation, underground fluids, geochemistry, geomagnetic fields, ground resistivity, etc. Precursors of a single discipline only reflect the process of earthquake preparation from one aspect. Only when various precursors from multi-disciplined fields are put into a unified process of earthquake preparation can the process be understood and identified comprehensively. The comprehensive methods used in earthquake prediction are outlined in this paper. The relationship that the forthcoming main shock bears with the precursory features such as the time-space distribution, the order of the precursors, etc. is analyzed. Research shows that a few of the main shocks can be predicted with the comprehensive methods to some extent.
Keywords:Earthquake prediction  Comprehensive methods for earthquake prediction  Precursors
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