风能预报方法研究进展

中国蕴含着丰富的风能资源，但目前我国在风能预报方面的研究还很薄弱，几乎没有可用于风电场风能的客观、定量化的预报方法。风能预报，实际上最重要的是对风场的合理准确预报，进而得到风电量预报。通过简要介绍国际上风能预报的一些方法，如统计预报、动力预报（包括降尺度预报和集成预报）以及风电量预报，同时介绍对预报的检验和面向最终用户的预报平台的建设，希望能对我国风能预报行业的发展起到一定的借鉴和促进作用。

Review on Methods of Wind Power Forecasting

There are abundant wind power sources in China. But, so far, the exploring of wind power forecasting is still weak, and there is almost no objective and quantitative forecasting method available in China. Actually, wind power forecasting means to accurately predict wind speeds and directions in wind farms, and further to forecast wind power. In this paper, we briefly introduce several types of wind power forecasting models, such as statistics, dynamics, downscaling, ensemble wind power forecasting models, and wind power production forecasting models. Meanwhile, we simply introduce wind power prediction verification and user-friendly forecasting platform's construction.