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Return period and risk calculations for ocean wave energy applications
Authors:Mehmet zger  Zekai en
Institution:aFaculty of Civil Engineering, Hydraulics Division, Istanbul Technical University, Maslak 34469, Istanbul, Turkey
Abstract:The statistical behavior of wave energy at a site strongly depends on the wave characteristics. Wave energy converters fail to produce energy when there are no sufficiently available wave heights. Hence, evaluation of return periods and risk values of the minimum wave height becomes important for wave energy studies. A time index representing the minimum wave height is proposed here for ocean wave applications. Persistence plays a significant role in the calculation of return period and risk. Although ignoring the serial independence makes calculations easy, it leads to overestimations of the real status. In this paper, return periods and risk values are compared with each other by taking into consideration independent and dependent situations. Application of the study is achieved for the stations located in the Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Mexico.
Keywords:Significant wave height  Risk  Ocean wave energy  Persistence
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