| 控制镇江月平均气温变化的动力系统的重建及其预报应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张晓馨,苏万康.控制镇江月平均气温变化的动力系统的重建及其预报应用[J].气象科学,1994,14(3):241-246. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张晓馨 苏万康 |
| |
| 作者单位： | [1]镇江市气象局 [2]三明市气象局 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文运用镇江月平均气温一维时间序列作相空间拓展，和假定相空间状态变量随时间的演化方程含有线性项和二次非线性项，利用最小二乘法求解各项系数，保留其大差贡献较大的项，重建动力系统．并用镇江月平均气温实测值作检验．结果表明，重建的动力方程对月平均气温的演变能作出较好的描写．
|
| 关 键 词： | 月平均气温 动力系统 预报试验 气温变化 镇江市 |
THE RECONSTRUCTION AND APPLICATION OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEM IN CONTROLLING MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE CHANGE IN ZHENGJIANG CITY |
| |
| ZHang Xiaoxin.THE RECONSTRUCTION AND APPLICATION OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEM IN CONTROLLING MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE CHANGE IN ZHENGJIANG CITY[J].Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,1994,14(3):241-246. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHang Xiaoxin |
| |
| Institution: | ZHang Xiaoxin (Zhengjiang City Meteorological Bureau )Su Wankang(Sanmin City Meteorologcal Bureau)Peng Yongqing(Nanjing Institute of Meteorology) |
| |
| Abstract: | A dynamical system for monthly average temperature in Zhengjiang city Jiangsu Prorince, was reconstructed by means the extension of Phase space and the evolation equation of phase space transformation. The reconstructed dynamical equation can be satisfactorily used to describe the evolutional trenrd of monthly average temperature |
| |
| Keywords: | monthly average temperature dynamical system forecasting trial |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气象科学》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《气象科学》下载免费的PDF全文 |
