| 10—12月500百帕环流特征对次年云南5-6月雨量的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 王裁云. 10—12月500百帕环流特征对次年云南5-6月雨量的影响[J]. 热带气象学报, 1987, 0(3): 258-265 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王裁云 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南省气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过相关普查,发现10-12月东亚某些区域的500百帕格点月平均高度距平的南北梯度,与次年云南5-6月雨量有较密切的关系,由此取出四个因子,建立一些预报工具,经独立样本资料检验,效果是满意的。最后,本文分析了影响云南5-6月雨量的环流形势和所取前期因子的预报作用。
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| 收稿时间： | 1986-03-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 1986-09-19 |
THE INFLUENCE OF THE CIRCULATIONAL FEATURES AT 500hPa FOR OCT.-DEC. ON THE RAINFALL IN NEXT MAY-JUNE IN YUNNAN PROVINCE |
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| Wang Caiyun. THE INFLUENCE OF THE CIRCULATIONAL FEATURES AT 500hPa FOR OCT.-DEC. ON THE RAINFALL IN NEXT MAY-JUNE IN YUNNAN PROVINCE[J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 1987, 0(3): 258-265 |
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| Authors: | Wang Caiyun |
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| Affiliation: | Yunnan Meteorological Service |
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| Abstract: | Based on statistical correlation analysis, we find that the difference of south and north geopotential hight anomaly at 500 hPa in OCT. NOV. DEC.will be related to the rainfall for May-June in Yunnan Province next year.Due to the analysis mentioned above, we have chosen four factors and set up some statistical forecasting eqnations.The historical fitting rates are quite high and applied results from new samples are satisfied.Finally, the influence of circulatiational features for May-June on the rainfall in same time and predicted action of the factors were discussed. |
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