| Study of evolution forecast of the area of the Huanghe River mouth |
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| 作者姓名： | Guo Yongsheng Xu Xuegong Fan Zhaomu Wu Peihong Zhu Xiaoge |
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| 作者单位： | Guo Yongsheng，Xu Xuegong，Fan Zhaomu，Wu Peihong and Zhu Xiaoge Department of Geography，Shandong Normal University，Jinan 250014，China Department of Geography，Peking University，Beijing 100871，China Remote Sensing Geology Department，Oil Exploration and Exploitation Scientific Research Institute，Beijing 100083，China |
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| 摘 要： | From 1979 to 1989, the current Qingshuigou course of the Huanghe River formed a sub - delta which resembles a beak extending into the Laizhou Bay. It covers 618 km2 in area. To meet the needs of developing and constructing the Huanghe River Delta and under the presupposition of keeping the current course for 15-20 a, we forecast mainly by using the OM (1, 1) model that the front border of the sub-delta will be close to 119°30'E and its area will become 923 km2by the end of the year 2000. The Huanghe River will make land 760 km2 in area.
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| 关 键 词： | Huanghe River mouth Markov chain forecasting method of grey number series |
| 收稿时间： | 1992/3/25 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1992/9/10 0:00:00 |
Study of evolution forecast of the area of the Huanghe River mouth |
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| Guo Yongsheng,Xu Xuegong,Fan Zhaomu,Wu Peihong,Zhu Xiaoge.Study of evolution forecast of the area of the Huanghe River mouth[J].Acta Oceanologica Sinica,1993,12(2):249-259. |
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| Authors: | Guo Yongsheng Xu Xuegong Fan Zhaomu Wu Peihong and Zhu Xiaoge |
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| Institution: | 1.Department of Geography, Shandong Normal University, Jinan 250014, China2.Department of Geography, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China3.Remote Sensing Geology Department, Oil Exploration and Exploitation Scientific Research Institute, Beijing 100083, China |
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| Abstract: | From 1979 to 1989, the current Qingshuigou course of the Huanghe River formed a sub-delta which resembles a beak extending into the Laizhou Bay. It covers 618 km2 in area. To meet the needs of developing and constructing the Huanghe River Delta and under the presupposition of keeping the current course for 15-20 a, we forecast mainly by using the OM (1, 1) model that the front border of the sub-delta will be close to 119°30'E and its area will become 923 km2 by the end of the year 2000.The Huanghe River will make land 760 km2 in area. |
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| Keywords: | Huanghe River mouth Markov chain forecasting method of grey number series |
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