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Influence of seismicity parameter uncertainty on seismic hazard estimation of cities and towns
作者姓名:黄玮琼  吴宣
作者单位:Institute of Geophysics,China Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100081,China,Institute of Geophysics,China Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100081,China
基金项目:Chinese Joint Seismological Science foundation (100110).
摘    要:Introduction In his Doctor thesis, PAN (2000) has roughly studied some about the influence of parameter uncertainty on seismic hazard analysis. The aim of this paper is especially to study the uncertainty influence extent of seismic hazard analysis result in a spot, owing to the uncertainty of seismicity parameters induced by variational statistical time ranges of various statistical regions in the whole country. The authors have inquired into the uncertain extents of influence of seismic p…

收稿时间:18 June 2002
修稿时间:9 December 2002

Influence of seismicity parameter uncertainty on seismic hazard estimation of cities and towns
Huang Wei-qiong,and Wu Xuan.Influence of seismicity parameter uncertainty on seismic hazard estimation of cities and towns[J].Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition),2003,16(6):632-638.
Authors:Huang Wei-qiong  and Wu Xuan
Institution:Institute of Geophysics, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100081, China
Abstract:The influence on seismic hazard estimation for 310 cities and towns in the whole nation are studied in particular,owing to uncertainty of seismicity parameters caused by non-uniqueness in selecting statistical time ranges. Andthe regional sketch maps of the average varying values of intensity and the average relative varying values of peakacceleration with different probability of exceedance in 50 years are drawn in the Chinese mainland.
Keywords:statistical time range uncertainty of parameters hazard estimation of cities and towns averagevarying value
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