新疆阿克苏断层H2浓度影响因素及映震效能分析

利用相关和回归分析方法,分析断层H2浓度与气温、气压之间的相关关系,得到气温与断层H2浓度的回归方程.通过R值评分方法对断层H2浓度回归残差进行映震效能检验,结果表明:1)气温为阿克苏断层H2浓度变化的主要影响因素,与断层H2浓度呈高度正相关;气压对阿克苏断层H2浓度变化影响较小,与断层H2浓度呈中低度负相关.2)断层...

The Influence Factors of Fault H2 and Earthquake Prediction Capability in Aksu,Xinjiang

We analyze the relationship between fault H2 concentration and air temperature and air pressure to obtain a regression equation using correlation and regression analysis methods. Through the R-value grading method, we test the earthquake prediction capability of fault H2 concentration regression residuals. The results show that: 1) Air temperature is the main influence factor of fault H2 concentration change in Aksu with high positive correlation. Air pressure has little effect on fault H2 concentration variation in Aksu with low-medium degree negative correlation. 2) The regression residual R value of fault H2 concentration is 0.690 7, and the earthquake prediction capability is good. The mean corresponding period of M5 earthquake prediction is 23 d. The dominant seismogenic zone is the western section of southern Tianshan.