乐山寒潮客观预报及其效果检验分析 |
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引用本文: | 杨悦,王小勇,肖灜川. 乐山寒潮客观预报及其效果检验分析[J]. 四川气象, 2014, 0(4): 72-76 |
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作者姓名: | 杨悦 王小勇 肖灜川 |
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作者单位: | 四川省乐山市气象局,乐山614000 |
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摘 要: | 本文对"基于EC产品的乐山寒潮预报系统"的预报原理进行了介绍;并对2005年10月~2014年4月该预报系统的使用效果、预报准确率和误差进行了详细的分析,对预报工具和集体预报的预报情况进行了对比分析。结果表明,该寒潮预报系统具有较好的可用性和有效性,有利于提高寒潮以及强降温天气过程的预报能力。
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关 键 词: | 寒潮预报 EC产品 效果分析 乐山 |
Leshan Objective Forecasting System of Cold Wave and Analysis |
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Affiliation: | YANG Yue, WANG Xiaoyong, XIAO Yingchuan ( Leshan Meteorological Bureau, Leshan 614000, China) |
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Abstract: | This article introduced the principle of "Leshan forecasting system of cold wave based on EC products" ;Carried out a detailed analysis on the use effect, forecast accuracy and error in October 2005 to April 2014. Compared with man - prediction and forecasting tools on forecast accuracy. The results show that this forecasting system has good usability and effectiveness, helps to improve forecasting ability of strong cooling process. |
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Keywords: | cold wave forecast EC products analysis of effect Leshan |
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