Implications of changes in climatic averages and variability on food production opportunities in Ontario,Canada |
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Authors: | Michael Brklacich Barry Smit |
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Institution: | (1) Land Resource Research Centre, Agriculture Canada, K1A 0C6 Ottawa, Ontario, Canada;(2) Land Evaluation Group (LEG), University of Guelph, N1G 2W1 Guelph, Ontario, Canada;(3) Department of Geography and LEG, University of Guelph, N1G 2W1 Guelph, Ontario, Canada |
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Abstract: | This paper explores the implications of changes in climatic averages and a range in precipitation levels on food production opportunities at the farm, regional and provincial levels for the province of Ontario. A doubling in atmospheric CO2 or its equivalent would contribute to extended frost-free seasons throughout Ontario, and possibly increase year-to-year variability in precipitation. At the farm level, these changes imply greater fluctuations in annual farm profits. The benefits of longer frost-free seasons would be impaired during years with relatively low precipitation, and under these conditions, the security of the province's food supply would be at risk.LRRC Contribution No. 90-06. |
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