Statistics of extremes in climate change |
| |
Authors: | Richard W Katz |
| |
Institution: | 1.Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences,NCAR,Boulder,USA |
| |
Abstract: | This editorial essay concerns the use (or lack thereof) of the statistics of extremes in climate change research. So far,
the statistical theory of extreme values has been primarily applied to climate under the assumption of stationarity. How this
theory can be applied in the context of climate change, including implications for the analysis of the economic impacts of
extremes, is described. Future research challenges include the statistical modeling of complex extreme events, such as heat
waves, and taking into account spatial dependence in the statistical modeling of extremes for fields of climate observations
or of numerical model output. Addressing these challenges will require increased collaboration between climate scientists
and statisticians. |
| |
Keywords: | |
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
|