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| 引用本文： | 焉建国,陈正松,罗志才,李琼.����ARģ�͵��Ϻ������������Ԥ�����[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2009,29(5):121-124. |
| 作者姓名： | 焉建国 陈正松 罗志才 李琼 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 武汉大学测绘遥感信息工程国家重点实验室,武汉,430079 2. 中国地震局地震研究所,武汉,430071 3. 地球空间环境与大地测量教育部重点实验室,武汉,430079 |
| 基金项目： | 国家973计划，国家教育部新世纪优秀人才计划 |
| 摘 要： | ????AR?????????????????????????????????????AIC?????AR????????????????????,AR??4?????????????????????AR(4)???????????δ??10??????????????????? |
| 关 键 词： | AR??? AIC??? ??? ??????? ???? |
ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF LAND SUBSIDENCE IN SHANGHAI BASED ON AR MODEL |
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| Yan Jianguo,Chen Zhengsong,Luo Zhicai , Li QiongState Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying,Mapping , Remote Sensing,Wuhan University,Wuhan Institute of Seismology,China Earthquake Administration,WuHan Key Laboratory of Geospace Envionment , Geodesy,Ministry of Education,Wuhan.ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF LAND SUBSIDENCE IN SHANGHAI BASED ON AR MODEL[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2009,29(5):121-124. | |
| Authors: | Yan Jianguo Chen Zhengsong Luo Zhicai Li QiongState Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying Mapping Remote Sensing Wuhan University Wuhan Institute of Seismology China Earthquake Administration WuHan Key Laboratory of Geospace Envionment Geodesy Ministry of Education Wuhan |
| Institution: | Yan Jianguo1),Chen Zhengsong2),Luo Zhicai3) , Li Qiong3)1)State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying,Mapping , Remote Sensing,Wuhan University,Wuhan 4300792)Institute of Seismology,China Earthquake Administration,WuHan 4300713)Key Laboratory of Geospace Envionment , Geodesy,Ministry of Education,Wuhan 430079 |
| Abstract: | The AR model is used to make fitting evaluation of land subsidence in Shanghai area.AR serial prediction model is cerived according to AIC law,and the computed result indicates that the results from AR(4) model are exactly in accordance with actual results and with this model the prediction of land subsidence in future 10 years of Shanghai area was been given. |
| Keywords: | AR model AIC law prediction land subsidence autoregression |
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