山东省旅游经济影响因子的回归-关联分析

目前,被称为"无烟工业"的旅游业正在迅速发展,山东省地处中国的东部沿海,交通便利,旅游资源丰富,这就为山东省旅游业的发展提供了良好的基础。根据山东省2006～2010年的国内旅游收入数据,运用线性回归分析和灰色关联分析相结合的方法,选取旅游经济支持、生态环境质量、旅游交通、旅游服务、社会文明程度和居民生活水平6个方面14个指标,对影响山东省国内旅游收入的相关因素及各因素的重要程度进行了分析。结果表明,国内旅游收入与居民生活水平联系最为密切,与交通因素关联性最弱。

REGRESSION AND GRAY CORRELATIVE ANALYSIS ON FACTORS AFFECTING TOURISM ECONOMIC IN SHANDONG PROVINCE

Tourism,a smokeless industry,is developing rapidly in China.Shandong Province,a coastal city,is located in the east of China;the transportation is convenient and the tourist resources are rich,which provides a good foundation to develope tourism in the shandong province.Based on linear regression analysis method and gray correlative analysis method,this paper analyzes the relevant factors that affect domestic tourism revenue and how important the factors are according to Shandong’s tourism industry data,14 indicators concerning economic support,eco-environmental quality,tourist traffic,tourist service,social civilization level,as well as people living standard,from 2006 to 2010.It shows that the domestic tourism revenue has the most connection to people living standard factor and the weakest connection to traffic factor.