| 辽东湾东部区块热带风暴设计增水的计算 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘锦昆.辽东湾东部区块热带风暴设计增水的计算[J].海洋湖沼通报,2011(1):21-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘锦昆 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国石油大学(华东),山东,东营,257061;胜利油田胜利勘察设计研究院有限公司,山东,东营,257026 |
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| 基金项目： | 中石化集团公司重点研究项目P08032资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 以辽东湾东部区块出现的极值增水序列为例,考虑热带气旋过程出现频次的影响,采用泊松-最大熵复合极值分布进行了增水统计分析,计算得到辽东湾东部区块的增水重现值.最大100年一遇值为183cm,最大50年一遇值为158cm,皆出现于第1区块.由于受地形的影响,区块1、2与3的增水大小相似,区块4则略小.该结果对辽东湾东部区块...
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| 关 键 词： | 热带气旋 极值增水 泊松-最大熵分布 重现值 |
CALCULATION OF DESIGN STORM SURGE CAUSED BY TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE EASTERN AREA OF LIAODONG BAY |
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| LIU Jinkun.CALCULATION OF DESIGN STORM SURGE CAUSED BY TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE EASTERN AREA OF LIAODONG BAY[J].Transaction of Oceanology and Limnology,2011(1):21-25. |
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| Authors: | LIU Jinkun |
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| Institution: | LIU Jinkun(1.China University of Petroleum(East China),Dongying 257061,China,2.Shengli Engineering & Consulting Company LTD.,Dongying 257026,China) |
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| Abstract: | Taking series of extreme storm surge caused by tropical cyclones in eastern section of Liaodong Bay,statistical analysis of extreme storm surge was carried out with Poisson-Maximum Entropy distribution by considering the occurrence frequencies of tropical cyclones.The 100-year return storm surge is 183cm and the 50-year storm surge is 158cm.Both of them occur in Section 1.Because of the influence of topography of total 4 sections,the intensity trends of storm surges in Section 1,2 and 3 are similar,while th... |
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| Keywords: | tropical cyclone extreme storm surge Poisson-maximum entropy distribution return value |
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