| 中国大陆地震趋势数学建模分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 薛丁,王亮.中国大陆地震趋势数学建模分析[J].高原地震,2008,20(2):1-3. |
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| 作者姓名： | 薛丁 王亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 内蒙古自治区地震局,内蒙古,呼和浩特,010010 |
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| 摘 要： | 按照中国大陆边界的划分方案，使用Mapsis软件选取了1900年以来Ms6．0级以上地震资料。使用数学中19阶多项式非线性函数建模，模型中的参数用最小二乘法求取。对地震资料进行最佳逼近拟合，并递推未来1～2年时间尺度预测。在此引用了一种数学方法来描述中国大陆地区的地震趋势规律。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国大陆 地震区 地震趋势 数学建模 |
ANALYSIS OF SEISMIC TENDENCY BY MATH MODELING IN CHINESE MAINLAND |
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| XUE Ding,WANG Liang.ANALYSIS OF SEISMIC TENDENCY BY MATH MODELING IN CHINESE MAINLAND[J].Plateau Earthquake Research,2008,20(2):1-3. |
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| Authors: | XUE Ding WANG Liang |
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| Institution: | ( Earthquake Administration of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, Hohhot 010010, China) |
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| Abstract: | In the paper, according to boundary of Chinese mainland, using MAPSIS software, the authors se- lect the data of earthquakes Ms≥ 6.0 from 1900 to now. Using the 19 -order non -linear math polynomial, and the coefficient parameters can be obtained by method of least square. They have made optimum approaches to data by fitting, and made a prediction of seismic tendency in one to two years. This provides a mathematical model prediction method to describe the rule of seismic tendency in Chinese Mainland. |
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| Keywords: | Chinese mainland Seismic area Seismic tendency Math modeling |
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