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Method discussion for quick response grey prediction of stronger aftershocks of an earthquake sequence
Authors:JIAN-JUN PING  YONG-QING LI  QING-RONG ZHANG
Affiliation:Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050021, China
Abstract:In this paper, we take occurrence process of early strong aftershocks of a main-after shock type’s earthquake sequence as a complex grey system, and introduce predicting method for its stronger aftershocks by grey predicting theory. Through inspection prediction for 1998 Zhangbei M S=6.2 earthquake sequence, it shows that the grey predicting method maybe has active significance for the investigation of quick response prediction problems of stronger aftershocks of an earthquake sequence.
Keywords:main-after shock type’  s earthquake sequence  stronger aftershock  grey prediction
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