| 集合预报方法研究及应用进展综述 |
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| 引用本文： | 段明铿,王盘兴.集合预报方法研究及应用进展综述[J].南京气象学院学报,2004,27(2):279-288. |
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| 作者姓名： | 段明铿 王盘兴 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京气象学院,大气科学系,江苏,南京,210044 |
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| 基金项目： | 十五"国家技术攻关项目(2001BA607B) |
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| 摘 要： | 简要介绍了国内外集合预报研究及业务应用进展。涉及集合预报的4个方面：初始扰动生成、数值模式选择、预报信息提炼和预报系统及结果评价。结果可供改进我国集合预报业务的研究工作参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 大气集合预报 初始扰动 数值模式 信息提炼 检验评价 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2022(2004)02-0279-10 |
Advances in Researches and Applications of Ensemble Prediction |
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| DUAN Ming-keng,WANG Pan-xing.Advances in Researches and Applications of Ensemble Prediction[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2004,27(2):279-288. |
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| Authors: | DUAN Ming-keng WANG Pan-xing |
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| Abstract: | Advances in researches and operational applications of ensemble prediction are briefly reviewed.The four aspects of ensemble prediction,ie the generation of initial perturbation,the choice of numerical models,the abstraction of forecasting information,and the evaluation of forecasting system and results,are involved,in this paper,which can be used as a reference in the research on improving the operational ensemble forecasting in China. |
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| Keywords: | ensemble prediction initial perturbation numerical model information abstraction evaluation |
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