| 改进的持续法作盛夏南海热带气旋强度和路径预报方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 孔宁谦,陈润珍,蔡敏.改进的持续法作盛夏南海热带气旋强度和路径预报方法[J].海洋预报,2006,23(2):52-55. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孔宁谦 陈润珍 蔡敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西区海洋气象台,广西,北海,536000 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文把热带气旋强度和路径变化的惯性作用及气候变化规律结合起来,建立预报模式,作盛夏南海热带气旋强度和路径预报,经1996~2002年试报,效果较好,可供热带气旋预报工作中参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 热带气旋 强度 路径 预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-0239(2006)2-0052-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-07-13 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-02-21 |
THE ADVANCED CLIMATIC PERSISTENCE METHOD OF FORECASTING TROPICAL-CYCLONE TRACK AND INTENSITY IN SOUTH CHINA SEA DURING MIDSUMMER |
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| KONG Ning-qian,CHEN Run-zhen,CAI Min.THE ADVANCED CLIMATIC PERSISTENCE METHOD OF FORECASTING TROPICAL-CYCLONE TRACK AND INTENSITY IN SOUTH CHINA SEA DURING MIDSUMMER[J].Marine Forecasts,2006,23(2):52-55. |
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| Authors: | KONG Ning-qian CHEN Run-zhen CAI Min |
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| Institution: | Guangxi Regional Marine Meteorology Station, Beihai 536000 China |
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| Abstract: | Combining with inertial and climatic change of tropical-cyclone track andintensity,We build the forecasting model for tropical-cyclone track and intensity in SouthChian sea during midsummer.The model was applied to forecast during 1996~2002.Theresults are good and give references for tropical-cyclone forecast. |
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| Keywords: | tropical-cyclone intensity rack forecast |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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