Application of multi-agent simulation to evaluate the influence of reservoir operation strategies on the distribution of water availability in the semi-arid Jaguaribe basin,Brazil |
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Affiliation: | 1. State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China;2. Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;1. State Key Laboratory of Petroleum Resource and Prospecting, College of Geosciences, China Petroleum University, Beijing, 102249, China;2. UNBC, University of North British Columbia, V2N 4Z9, Canada;3. State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China;4. Institute for Energy, Environment and Sustainable Communities, University of Regina, 120, 2 Research Drive, Regina, Saskatchewan, S4S 7H9, Canada;5. Beijing Engineering Research Center for Watershed Environmental Restoration & Integrated Ecological Regulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;6. School of Water Resources & Civil Engineering, China Agriculture University, Beijing 100083, China;1. IFPEN, France;2. Petrobras, Macaé, RJ, Brazil;3. IFPEN, 1 and 4, Av. de Bois-Préau, 92852 Rueil-Malmaison, Cedex, France;4. Université Bordeaux 1, Av. des Facultés, 33405 Talence, Cedex, France;1. College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Yan’an University, Yan’an 716000, China;2. Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering College, Inner Mongolia Agricultural University, Hohhot 001018, China;3. Key Laboratory of Subsurface Hydrology and Ecological Effects in Arid Region, Ministry of Education, Chang’an University, Xi''an, Shaanxi 710054, China;4. School of Water and Environment, Chang’an University, Xi''an, Shaanxi 710054, China;5. Northwest Engineering Corporation Limited, Power China, Xi''an, Shaanxi 710065, China;1. Institute of Space and Astronautical Science (ISAS), Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), Sagamihara, Japan;2. Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research, Göttingen, Germany;3. ESA/ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands;4. Space Research Institute (IKI), Moscow, Russia;5. Rheinish Institute for Environmental Research, Universität zu Köln, Cologne, Germany;6. INAF-IAPS, Rome, Italy |
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Abstract: | Studying the processes responsible for the distribution of water resources in a river basin over space and time is of great importance for spatial planning. In this study a multi-agent simulation approach is applied for exploring the influence of alternative reservoir operation strategies on water use distribution in the semi-arid Jaguaribe basin in case of decreasing rainfall. Water use distribution is analyzed both for one specific subbasin – our study area – and for the river basin level. Agents in this study are farmers that adapt to local variations in water availability. In this way both natural and human influences on water availability are taken into account. This study shows that a decrease in rainfall and runoff in the Jaguaribe basin leads to a transition of water use from the dry season to the wet season. The dry season water use decreases because of reduced water availability in the dry season. This mainly is the result of reduced rainfall and runoff in the wet season and the consequent increased water use for irrigation in the wet season. A decrease in rainfall and runoff also leads to a relative transition of water use from downstream to upstream at the basin scale. Strategic reservoir operation enables local water managers to offset the effect of decreasing rainfall and runoff with regards to water use at the subbasin level, at the cost of further decreasing water availability at the basin level. |
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