变化磁场及其跨越式预报方法

本文从地磁学的基本概念出发,分析了感磁效应和地震地磁相关性这两类有本质区别的预报方法。应用多年资料对幅相法、低点位移平面图法和日变形态法等三种具体的预报方法进行统计检验,认为利用幅相法和低点位移平面图法相结合预报中、强地震,特别是预报发震时间有一定的效果。最后对与变化磁场预报地震联系在一起的跨越式预报方法进行了讨论,初步认为它是建立在多种环境因素表现出来的周期性和周期性触发作用众友受环境因素的调制临震突发性异常表现出来的间断性和周期性起伏的研究之上的。

THE VARIOUS MAGNETIC FIELD AND LEAPING OVER PREDICTION METHOD

In this paper, the authors have analysed the two kinds of different prediction methods, which are the induction-magnetic effect and the correlation between the seismology and geomagnetism, according to the basic concept of magnetism. The data of many years have been applied to examine the three concrete prediction methods statistically. It is thought that the combination of the amplitude-phase method and low point displacement plan is of a certain effects to predict the moderate-strong earthquakes, especially the seismic occurring time. Finally, the Leaping over prediction method linked to the earth-quake prediction of the various magnetic field has been discussed.