Earthquake early warning scenarios at critical facilities in the Eastern Caribbean |
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| Authors: | Elisa Zuccolo Tony Gibbs Carlo G Lai Joan L Latchman Walter Salazar Luigi Di Sarno Anthony Farrell Lloyd Lynch Addison Workman |
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| Institution: | 1.Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture,University of Pavia,Pavia,Italy;2.Council of Caribbean Engineering Organisations,Bridgetown,Barbados;3.European Centre for Training and Research in Earthquake Engineering,Pavia,Italy;4.Seismic Research Centre,UWI-The University of the West Indies,St. Augustine,Trinidad and Tobago;5.Faculty of Engineering and Architecture,Catholic University of El Salvador UNICAES,Santa Ana,El Salvador;6.Department of Engineering,University of Sannio,Benevento,Italy |
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| Abstract: | A feasibility study of an earthquake early warning (EEW) system was conducted for the Eastern Caribbean region using scenario earthquakes, corresponding to the maximum credible earthquakes and to the earthquakes associated with a return period of 475 years. Broadband synthetic seismograms were produced at selected critical facilities, where there is potential interest in the installation of an EEW system. The expected damage was derived from the synthetic seismograms and compared with the lead-time determined for both a regional and on-site EEW configuration. Next, the Virtual Seismologist EEW algorithm, as included in SeisComP3, was tested. Additional broadband synthetic seismograms were produced for the stations in the Eastern Caribbean seismic networks in order to simulate the real time behaviour of the seismic networks during the occurrence of the synthetic earthquakes and to assess the predictive capacity of the selected ground motion prediction equation. Expected peak ground parameters and lead-times at the critical facilities constitute the major outcome of the study. |
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