Projected sea level rise in Florida |
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Authors: | Todd L. Walton Jr. |
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Affiliation: | aBeaches and Shores Resource Center, Institute of Science and Public Affairs, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32310, USA |
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Abstract: | Future sea level rise will lead to salt water intrusion, beach/dune recession, and many other coastal problems. This paper addresses a data based forecasting approach to provide relative sea level rise estimates at locations in Florida where historical water level data exist. Many past estimates of sea level rise have treated the rise as a linear straight line trend over the historical data set. The present paper has allowed for acceleration (or deceleration) in sea level rise to account for the possibility of anthropogenic global warming and consequent higher (than linear straight line) future sea levels similar to values noted by global climatic modelers. Results of the present analysis show sea level rise for Florida being higher than past straight line trend results. |
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Keywords: | Forecasting Sea level Tides |
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