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高速公路边坡稳定性评价新方法
引用本文:张菊连,沈明荣.高速公路边坡稳定性评价新方法[J].岩土力学,2011,32(12):3623-3629.
作者姓名:张菊连  沈明荣
作者单位:1.同济大学 地下建筑与工程系,上海 200092;2.同济大学 岩土及地下工程教育部重点实验室,上海 200092
基金项目:上海市重点学科建设资助学科
摘    要:为能在初期勘察阶段及少量室内和现场试验的基础上快速、准确地对高速公路边坡进行稳定性评价,提出了一种新的边坡稳定性评价方法。基于福建省高速公路边坡资料,以现场稳定情况为因变量,影响边坡稳定性的14个因子为自变量,利用Logistic逐步回归遴选显著影响因子,建立了边坡稳定性评价的Logistic回归模型。该模型符合拟合优度检验,模型稳定性良好,且预测结果准确。另外,模型影响因子的调查和获取比较容易,模型可处理定性因素,边坡稳定评价过程亦方便、快捷,因而边坡稳定性评价的Logistic回归分析可在高速公路边坡工程中推广应用。

关 键 词:Logistic回归  高速公路边坡  边坡稳定性评价  影响因子  因变量  
收稿时间:2010-08-29

A new approach to expressway slope stability assessment
ZHANG Ju-lian,SHEN Ming-rong.A new approach to expressway slope stability assessment[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2011,32(12):3623-3629.
Authors:ZHANG Ju-lian  SHEN Ming-rong
Institution:1. Department of Geotechnical Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Geotechnical and Underground Engineering of Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
Abstract:In order to evaluate expressway slope stability rapidly and accurately based on a small amount of indoor and field tests during initial survey,this paper presents a new slope stability assessment method.Based on slope data from Fujian expressways,field slope stability condition was investigated,and 14 factors that might affect the slope stability were collected;then the Logistic stepwise regression was used to select significant factors,and finally a slope stability evaluation Logistic regression model with...
Keywords:Logistic regression  expressway slopes  slope stability evaluation  impact factor  dependent variable  
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