| 2014年云南鲁甸MS6.5地震预测回顾与反思 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭增建,郭安宁,赵乘程,任栋,张炜超. 2014年云南鲁甸MS6.5地震预测回顾与反思[J]. 地震工程学报, 2015, 37(S1): 82-85 |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭增建 郭安宁 赵乘程 任栋 张炜超 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃兰州 730000,中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃兰州 730000,中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃兰州 730000,中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃兰州 730000,中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃兰州 730000 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技部公益专项(201208001);甘肃省科技档案项目(2013-2);甘肃省地震局地震科技发展基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 用"静中动判据"和"周期性"方法回顾2014年8月3日云南鲁甸MS6.5地震的中期预测,并用异年倍九律(异年倍九法)对鲁甸地震的发震日期进行了回顾性反思。
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| 关 键 词： | 鲁甸地震 中期预测回顾 临震预测反思 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015-04-01 |
Review and Introspection of Prediction of the 2014 Ludian, Yunnan MS6.5 Earthquake |
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| GUO Zeng-jian,GUO An-ning,ZHAO Cheng-cheng,REN Dong and ZHANG Wei-chao. Review and Introspection of Prediction of the 2014 Ludian, Yunnan MS6.5 Earthquake[J]. China Earthguake Engineering Journal, 2015, 37(S1): 82-85 |
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| Authors: | GUO Zeng-jian GUO An-ning ZHAO Cheng-cheng REN Dong ZHANG Wei-chao |
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| Affiliation: | Lanzhou Institute of of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China,Lanzhou Institute of of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China,Lanzhou Institute of of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China,Lanzhou Institute of of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China and Lanzhou Institute of of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China |
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| Abstract: | Using the prediction methods of "criterion of activity in quiescence" and "periodicity", the mid-term prediction of Ludian,Yunnan MS6.5 earthquake on August 3,2014 was reviewed. Furthermore,the Ludian earthquake occurrence date was retrospectively rethought base on the method of "rhythm of multiplied nine days in different years". |
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| Keywords: | Ludian earthquake mid-term prediction review introspection of impending earthquake prediction |
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