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汶川8.0级大震的余震最大强度用科里奥利力效应方法的判定
引用本文:白雪见,任栋,贾源源,段博儒. 汶川8.0级大震的余震最大强度用科里奥利力效应方法的判定[J]. 地震工程学报, 2018, 40(5): 1073-1077
作者姓名:白雪见  任栋  贾源源  段博儒
作者单位:中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃 兰州 730000,中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃 兰州 730000,中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃 兰州 730000,中国地震局兰州地震研究所, 甘肃 兰州 730000
基金项目:国家档案局科技项目(2017-X-43);"十三五"国家重点研发计划项目课题:基于现场实时信息的损失动态评估技术及应用示范(2017YFC1500906)
摘    要:用科里奥利力效应预测强余震是一种震源物理的方法。回顾2008年汶川8.0级大震时用该方法判定余震最大强度的过程,半定性与综合判定为可能发生的最大余震强度为6.5级左右,实际发生了6.4级地震,与主震震级相差大于1级(MM=1.6)。验证结果进一步说明该方法的科学性,给科里奥利力效应判定余震增加了一个可靠的判例。

关 键 词:科里奥利力效应  最大余震判定  汶川8.0地震
收稿时间:2017-08-20

Derterminatin of the Largest Aftershock of Wenchuan MS8.0 Earthquake in 2008 by the Coriolis Force Effect
BAI Xuejian,REN Dong,JIA Yuanyuan and DUAN Boru. Derterminatin of the Largest Aftershock of Wenchuan MS8.0 Earthquake in 2008 by the Coriolis Force Effect[J]. China Earthguake Engineering Journal, 2018, 40(5): 1073-1077
Authors:BAI Xuejian  REN Dong  JIA Yuanyuan  DUAN Boru
Affiliation:Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CEA, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China,Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CEA, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China,Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CEA, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China and Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CEA, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China
Abstract:Predicting strong aftershocks with Coriolis force is a method of seismic source physics and it was put forward by GUO Zengjian in 1992.This paper reviews the process of predicting the largest aftershock of 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake by using this method.We concluded that the largest aftershock might be MS 6.5 by qualitative and synthetical judgment.The actual situation is that the largest aftershock is MS 6.4,and the magnitude difference between the main shock and the largest aftershock is bigger than 1.The verification results further illustrate the scientificity of the method and add an effective example for the Coriolis force effect.
Keywords:Coriolis force effect  decision of the largest aftershock  Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake
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