| 长江三峡枯水期区域性强降水的一种重要天气形势 |
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| 引用本文： | 熊廷南,周小刚,邓北胜. 长江三峡枯水期区域性强降水的一种重要天气形势[J]. 气象, 1997, 0(5) |
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| 作者姓名： | 熊廷南 周小刚 邓北胜 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京气象学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局“长江三峡工程大江截流气象保障服务技术开发”课题资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用长江三峡地区６个站１９６１—１９９４年１０月—１月的逐日降水量确定该地区发生区域性强降水的雨日，结合同期的历史天气图分析该地区产生区域性强降水的原因，影响系统和环流形势特征，归纳出长江三峡地区产生区域性强降水的两槽一脊型环流型，并进行逐日反查，概括出两槽一脊环流型产生区域性强降水的前期预报指标。并用１９９５年历史天气图和降水资料进行检验，又在１９９６年１０月、１１月进行试预报，结果说明两槽一脊环流型及相应的前期预报指标是具有预报参考价值的
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| 关 键 词： | 区域性强降水 枯水期 预报 |
An Important Circulation Pattern of the Regional Severe Precipitation in Dry Season in Sanxia on the Changjiang |
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| Xiong Tingnan Zhou Xiaogang Deng Beisheng. An Important Circulation Pattern of the Regional Severe Precipitation in Dry Season in Sanxia on the Changjiang[J]. Meteorological Monthly, 1997, 0(5) |
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| Authors: | Xiong Tingnan Zhou Xiaogang Deng Beisheng |
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| Abstract: | By using the precipitation data in the dry season from 1961 to 1994 and the same time synoptic map,the severe precipitation factors and features of circulation prior to the occurrence of severe precipitation are analysed.The two trough one ridge pattern is classified from numerous facts and the indexes of forcasting severe precipitation are discovered from the daily data. The forecasting indexes of the severe precipitation for the two trough one ridge pattern are given,it is proved to be practical value in the dry season in Sanxia on the Changjiang in recent two years. |
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| Keywords: | two trough one ridge pattern regional severe precipitation dry season |
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