| 重视预报过程反思提高地震预测水平 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋海昆.重视预报过程反思提高地震预测水平[J].国际地震动态,2005(5):151-153. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋海昆 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东省地震局,济南,250014 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家“十五”科技攻关计划项延续项目专题(2004BA601B010402)，地震联合机基金项目(105076)资助。 |
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| 摘 要： | 对我国地震预测预报工作的地位及目前的地震预测水平进行了简单讨论，着重指出了影响地震预测预报工作进一步深入的一些人为影响因素，并提出在现有科技水平基础上进一步提高经验预测水平的几点建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 经验性预报 预报过程反思 人为因素 建议 |
Rechecking the Prediction Process and Elevating the Forecasting Level |
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| Jiang Haikun.Rechecking the Prediction Process and Elevating the Forecasting Level[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2005(5):151-153. |
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| Authors: | Jiang Haikun |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the status of earthquake prediction and its scientific level has been discussed, some potential man-made factors which influence the advancement of the earthquake forecasting have been pointed out, and several suggestions fo r elevating the empirical forecasting level, based on the present science and te chnology, have been proposed. |
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| Keywords: | empirical forecast method Rechecking the prediction process man-made influence factor suggestion |
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