Random field characteristics of seismic zoning map |
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Authors: | Meng-Tan Gao and Hua Pan |
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Institution: | (1) Institute of Geophysics, State Seismological Bureau, 100081 Beijing, China |
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Abstract: | How to test the reasonability of the seismic zoning map with probabilistic means is the most concerned problem. So far, there
were no good methods to test zoning map using actual intensity data. Firstly, the author suggest the concept of random field,
then proved that the average value of the randomifield is ergodic by using Monte Carlo method, therefor the spatial average
tend to be the average of the random field with probability of the zoning map. Thus, a method of testing seismic zoning map
with probabilistic means using spatial distributing samples of intensity caused by actual earthquakes was provided. The Chinese
seismic zoning map made in 1990 was tested using recent 15 years and 50 years intensity samples. The results shows that this
zoning map is reasonable. The method provided in this paper can be used in other circumstance in which random field methods
were used.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 53–60, 1993. |
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Keywords: | random field seismic zoning map intensity spatial average probability |
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