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未来气候变化对7种荒漠植物分布的潜在影响
引用本文:吴建国.未来气候变化对7种荒漠植物分布的潜在影响[J].干旱区地理,2011,34(1):70-85.
作者姓名:吴建国
作者单位:中国环境科学研究院,北京,100012
基金项目:国家“十一五”科技支撑专题“西北珍稀濒危生物适应气候变化的关键技术与对策研究”(2007BAC03A02-06); 中国环境科学研究院公益性院所基金项目支持
摘    要:利用CART(classification and regression tree,分类和回归树)模型,采用A2和B2气候情景,分析了气候变化对百花蒿、红砂、灌木亚菊、灌木小甘菊、戈壁藜、瓣鳞花和白梭梭分布范围及空间格局的影响.结果显示:气候变化下,就目前适宜分布范围,这些植物都呈现缩小趋势;就新适宜及总适宜分布范围,...

关 键 词:气候变化  荒漠  空间分布格局  濒危植物

Potential effects of climate change in future on the distributions of 7 desert plants in China
WU Jian-guo.Potential effects of climate change in future on the distributions of 7 desert plants in China[J].Arid Land Geography,2011,34(1):70-85.
Authors:WU Jian-guo
Institution:WU Jian-guo(Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences,Beijing 100012,China)
Abstract:It is crucial to know the effects of climate change on the distribution of species for the conservation of biodiversity under the climate change.Many studies have lacked of using long term climate change scenarious and many climatical variables when analyzing the effects of climate change on the distribution of species,so there are high uncertainness for the effects of climate change on the distribution of species.There are about 30 000 high plants species and 600 desert plants species in China,while the ef...
Keywords:Endangered Plant  Climate Change  Desert  Spatial Distribution Pattern  
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